FEMA flood zones · Minnesota

Dakota County, Minnesota Flood Zone Map

181 flood insurance claims·$3.9M paid·6 federal flood & hurricane disasters

10% of Dakota County’s area is in FEMA’s high-risk flood zones, and another 1% in shaded X (mostly the 0.2% floodplain and areas behind levees).

Share of the whole county outline, rivers and lakes included; parts FEMA hasn’t mapped count as zero.

Coastal high risk (V, VE)FloodwayHigh risk (A, AE)Moderate (X, 500-year)Minimal (X)Undetermined (D)

Shaded areas are FEMA’s mapped flood hazard zones in and around Dakota County, Minnesota. Zoomed out they are simplified; at street level the map switches to FEMA’s exact layer. Tap anywhere to check that spot, or search an address above.

How Dakota County floods

Flash flooding from summer thunderstorms and spring river melt dominate the flood history of Dakota County, MN. Over the last 30 years, NOAA recorded 21 flash flood events resulting in 1 death, alongside 10 general flood events. Historic events include a severe spring flood melt along the Minnesota and Mississippi Rivers and their tributaries in March 2019, driven by above-average snowpack and warming temperatures. Intense summer storms have also caused severe localized impacts, such as a flash flood on August 16, 2016, that produced a mudslide on County Road 61 in the Minnesota River Valley and two feet of water flowing near Apple Valley.

National Flood Insurance Program records indicate that property owners in high-risk Zone A face the highest average impacts, accounting for 96 claims with an average payout of $39,707 and an average recorded water depth of 18 inches. Properties in moderate-to-low risk zones also experience losses; Zone X recorded 46 claims with an average payout of $20,224 and an average water depth of 9 inches, while Zone X_UNSHADED recorded 28 claims with an average payout of $6,335 and an average water depth of 1 inch. Homeowners, real estate agents, and journalists should pay the closest attention to properties located within Zone A and river valley areas, as well as properties susceptible to intense summer flash flooding.

Summary written from NOAA storm reports and NFIP claims for this county. Not a prediction.

Where the flood claims came from

24% of Dakota County’s flood insurance claims were on properties rated outside FEMA’s high-risk zones.

127 NFIP claims with a recorded rated flood zone, 1978 to date. The zone is the one FEMA used to rate that policy, which may not match today’s map. Source: OpenFEMA NFIP claims.

How deep the water got

outlet80″ door12″24″36″48″60″72″84″

In flood insurance claims here that reported a flood depth, the average was 14 inches.

Drawn to scale against an 80-inch door. Even a few inches soaks flooring, the bottom of the drywall and anything plugged in near the floor.

Average of the depths reported on claims (zero and implausible values left out); FEMA’s record doesn’t say exactly where each depth was measured. Source: OpenFEMA NFIP claims.

Flood claims, year by year

The worst year was 2001, with 21 claims and $609,253 paid, the year of Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes.

1978: 2 claims1979: 5 claims1980: 2 claims1981: 3 claims1982: 1 claims1983: 1 claims1984: 4 claims1986: 2 claims1987: 4 claims1988: 1 claims1992: 1 claims1993: 3 claims1995: 1 claims1997: 20 claims1998: 7 claims1999: 1 claims2000: 6 claims2001: 21 claims2002: 3 claims2003: 1 claims2010: 17 claims2011: 13 claims2012: 3 claims2013: 2 claims2014: 13 claims2015: 1 claims2016: 1 claims2018: 3 claims2019: 19 claims2020: 6 claims2022: 1 claims2023: 7 claims2024: 6 claims19801990200020102020

Bar height is scaled by square root so ordinary years stay visible next to the worst one. NFIP claims by year of loss. Source: OpenFEMA.

In their words

9 NOAA storm reports from Dakota County describe what happened, in the words of the forecasters who covered it. Read the Minnesota flood stories →

Federal disasters

16 federal disaster declarations since 1965, 6 of them floods, coastal storms or hurricanes.

DisasterBegan
Severe Storms And FloodingJun 14, 2012
FloodingMar 1, 2010
Hurricane Katrina EvacuationAug 29, 2005
Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesMar 23, 2001
Severe Storms And FloodingMay 17, 2000
Severe Storms, Straight Line Winds, And TornadoesMay 15, 1998
Severe Flooding, High Winds,severe StormsMar 21, 1997
Flooding And Severe StormsMar 14, 1996

Weather and water disasters only; most recent first. Source: OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations.

Recorded flood events

31 since 1996: 21 flash floods and 10 river or area floods.

EventDateDamage
FloodMar 17, 2019—
Flash FloodJul 19, 2017—
Flash FloodAug 16, 2016—
Flash FloodSep 17, 2015—
FloodJun 18, 2014—
Flash FloodAug 17, 2014$5,000
Flash FloodJun 1, 2014—
Flash FloodJul 13, 2013$150,000

— = no damage estimate in the record. Source: NOAA Storm Events Database.

From the storm reports

Flood · Mar 17, 2019. There were many factors that led to a severe Spring flood melt along the Minnesota and Mississippi Rivers and several of their tributaries during the last two weeks of March. The first factor was above average snowpack, especially over the Minnesota River Valley for mid March. Additionally, the added effect of a cold late Winter kept this snowpack deeper into the early Spring. Once temperatures warmed, and snow be…

Flash Flood · Jul 19, 2017. Several storms moved across southern Minnesota during the mid afternoon hours of Wednesday, July 19th. A few of the storms bowed out from south of Redwood Falls to Mankato, and into Owatonna and Northfield. There were numerous reports of downed trees and power lines with some corn fields flattened in southern Brown County near Comfrey.

Flash Flood · Aug 16, 2016. The afternoon of Tuesday, August 16th, a cluster of thunderstorms developed in the southwest suburbs of the Twin Cities near Shakopee and Chanhassen. These storms moved slowly to the east and northeast and produced large hail near downtown Minneapolis and torrential rainfall in the southern part of the cities. County Road 61, in the Minnesota River Valley, had a mud slide due to the intense rainfall with debris fl…

Flash Flood · Sep 17, 2015. A line of thunderstorms developed early Thursday morning, September 17th in eastern Minnesota, near the Twin Cities. These storms produced very heavy rainfall, gusty winds and some hail. The largest hail stone was quarter size near Crystal. Several thunderstorms moved across northern Dakota, southern Ramsey, and parts of western Washington Counties, and produced up to 2-3 inches of rainfall in less than 2 hours. T…

National Weather Service narratives, lightly trimmed. Source: NOAA Storm Events Database.

The zones you’ll see on the map

Every colour on the map above is a place on this drawing: where the ground sits relative to the flood FEMA plans for.

Cross-section of a river floodplainDiagram: a river valley. The floodway is the channel and the land beside it; the 1%-annual-chance flood surface (the base flood elevation) covers the valley floor as zone A or AE; a narrow band higher up is shaded X, the 0.2% floodplain; higher ground is X.0.2% CHANCE A YEAR (500-YEAR)BASE FLOOD ELEVATION · 1% A YEARXAEFloodwayAEX
  1. A / AE Inside the 1%-a-year floodplain: about a 26% chance of flooding over a 30-year mortgage. AE has a mapped base flood elevation; plain A does not.
  2. Floodway The channel and the land beside it that has to be kept clear enough to carry the flood. Building here is tightly limited.
  3. X shaded The 0.2% (500-year) floodplain, plus some levee-protected and very shallow flood areas.
  4. X Outside both lines. No federal requirement to insure, which is not the same as no risk.

Every flood zone code explained →

Flood insurance in Dakota County

If a building in Dakota County is in a high-risk zone (A or V) and its mortgage comes from a federally regulated or insured lender, or is federally backed, flood insurance is required.

Outside those zones it is optional, and often worth having: from 2014 to 2024 nearly one-third of NFIP claims came from outside the high-risk Special Flood Hazard Area. Since Risk Rating 2.0, NFIP premiums are set for each building, so the only reliable price is a quote: FloodSmart.gov or a local agent.